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Russian President Vladimir Putin is betting that Russian forces can prevail in Ukraine via a grinding battle of attrition and believes “Ukraine issues extra to him than us,” CIA Director William Burns informed lawmakers on Thursday.
Regardless of morale and different issues dealing with Russian forces in Ukraine, “Putin could be very a lot taking a longer-term view,” Burns informed a Home Intelligence Committee listening to.
“I feel he’s doubling down,” Burns mentioned. “I consider he’s satisfied that he could make time work for him, that he can grind down the Ukrainians via this battle of attrition, that he can put on down Western supporters of Ukraine.
“And he’s satisfied additionally and has been for a while that Ukraine issues extra to him than to us,” mentioned the CIA chief, a former U.S. ambassador to Russia.
“Subsequently, the problem, I feel, is to puncture that view.”
In its annual report on international threats, the Workplace of the Director of Nationwide Intelligence wrote that Russia possible wouldn't have the ability to make main territorial beneficial properties in Ukraine this yr, and could be hard-pressed to take the whole Donbas area within the nation’s east.
“The Russian navy has and can proceed to face problems with attrition, personnel shortages, and morale challenges which have left its forces susceptible to Ukrainian counterattacks,” the report mentioned.
On China, Burns mentioned Beijing had not made a determination on whether or not to take navy motion to grab management of Taiwan, however mentioned he wouldn't “underestimate the ambition of the present Chinese language management in that regard or the willpower.”
Director of Nationwide Intelligence Avril Haines mentioned on the similar listening to that a battle over Taiwan would have a large influence on the worldwide financial system and the provision of semiconductors, and that the Treasury, Commerce and different U.S. authorities departments have examined the potential impact.
“Research present that it might even have completely monumental implications for the worldwide monetary financial system if there have been disruption to Taiwan’s semiconductor manufacturing as a result of actually . . . Taiwan, the semiconductors, the chips that come out of Taiwan, are current in nearly each class of digital gadgets world wide,” Haines mentioned.
Burns additionally recommended China possible must weigh the financial influence if it selected to arm Russia, because it might deprive it of entry to the European market.
“It’s been vital that European leaders have spoken up on this subject as nicely, as a result of I feel for a very long time that the Chinese language management has assumed that it might drive wedges between the USA and our European allies on a difficulty like this,” Burns mentioned. “I feel the truth that a number of outstanding European leaders have spoken out instantly about this can be a essential step.”
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz has warned China to not ship weapons to Russia.
Victoria Ebner contributed.
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